Prediction of Shell Egg Price-A Shortrun Model

Sujit K. Roy

Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 1971, vol. 3, issue 1, 175-179

Abstract: Variations in price occur frequently in the U. S. shell egg industry and, consequently, interest has been widespread among the traders and the producers with regard to such price variations. Quantitative models for the specific purpose of predicting shortrun egg price have so far been conspicuously absent. The basic objectives of this discussion are first, to present an econometric model to predict quarterly shell egg price and, second, to explain the casual factors which appear to affect price in the immediate future. Finally, alternative methods of estimating the predictive model have been compared with regard to their relative predictive ability.

Date: 1971
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