When Less Is More: On the Use of Historical Yield Data with Application to Rating Area Crop Insurance Contracts

Yong Liu and Alan P. Ker

Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 2020, vol. 52, issue 2, 194-203

Abstract: Crop insurance is the cornerstone program of domestic farm policy in most developed countries. Although most countries’ rating methodology corrects for time-varying movements in the first two moments, it is unclear whether using the entire yield series remains appropriate. We use distributional tests and an out-of-sample retain-cede rating game to answer whether governments/insurers should historically trim yields in estimating their premium rates. Despite small sample sizes and the need to estimate tail probabilities, the historical data appear to be sufficiently different such that trimming is justified.

Date: 2020
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/ ... type/journal_article link to article abstract page (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:194-203_2

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics from Cambridge University Press Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Kirk Stebbing ().