Fertility and the Standard of Living in Early Modern England: in Consideration of Wrigley and Schofield

Martha Olney

The Journal of Economic History, 1983, vol. 43, issue 1, 71-77

Abstract: Comparing the dating of turning points of fertility with real wage trends for the sixteenth through nineteenth centuries, Wrigley and Schofield reported that an average of 50 years elapsed between changes in real wages and in fertility. Using a formal statistical procedure, it is shown that over these three centuries the average lag length was closer to 16 years. With eighteenth-century regional wage data the estimates of average lag length range between 12 and 16 years.

Date: 1983
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