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Boom-or-Bust Commodities and Industrialization in Pre–World War II Malaya

Gregg Huff

The Journal of Economic History, 2002, vol. 62, issue 4, 1074-1115

Abstract: This article links the terms of trade, money supply, labor market, and money and credit markets to explore a puzzle in Malayan economic history: why, despite rapid growth and high per capita income, did pre–World War II Malaya industrialize so little? A range of data is drawn together to show how for Malayan manufacturers economic boom was accompanied by precipitate deterioration in the real exchange rate, while in a slump credit contracted sharply and with it the size of the Malayan market for manufactures. Analysis of Malayan experience may be relevant for understanding slight industrialization elsewhere in Southeast Asia.

Date: 2002
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