Austerity and the Rise of the Nazi Party

Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Christopher Meissner, Martin McKee and David Stuckler

The Journal of Economic History, 2021, vol. 81, issue 1, 81-113

Abstract: We study the link between fiscal austerity and Nazi electoral success. Voting data from a thousand districts and a hundred cities for four elections between 1930 and 1933 show that areas more affected by austerity (spending cuts and tax increases) had relatively higher vote shares for the Nazi Party. We also find that the localities with relatively high austerity experienced relatively high suffering (measured by mortality rates) and these areas’ electorates were more likely to vote for the Nazi Party. Our findings are robust to a range of specifications including an instrumental variable strategy and a border-pair policy discontinuity design.

Date: 2021
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Working Paper: Austerity and the Rise of the Nazi party (2017)
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