National Institute Economic Review

1959 - 2025

From National Institute of Economic and Social Research
Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK.
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CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? pp. 71-109: Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Massimiliano Marcellino and Dalibor Stevanovic
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY pp. 127-161: Massimiliano Marcellino and Vasja Sivec

Global economic outlook – Vaccinations and US fiscal stimulus boost growth prospects pp. -: Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
1 UK economic outlook: Brisk but not better growth pp. -: Hande Kucuk, Cyrille Lenoel and Rory Macqueen
THE VALUE OF ROBUST STATISTICAL FORECASTS IN THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC pp. 19-43: Jennifer Castle, Jurgen Doornik and David Hendry
NOWCASTING ‘TRUE’ MONTHLY U.S. GDP DURING THE PANDEMIC pp. 44-70: Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Aubrey Poon
TRACKING THE MUTANT: FORECASTING AND NOWCASTING COVID-19 IN THE UK IN 2021 pp. 110-126: Andrew Harvey, Paul Kattuman and Craig Thamotheram
THE DASGUPTA REVIEW: SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES ON INVESTMENT IN CONSERVATION AND RESTORATION, FAMILY PLANNING, AND REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH pp. 162-177: Partha Dasgupta

Global economic outlook – the world in its grip: Covid-19 pp. -: Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
UK economic outlook: Brexit Britain in Covid recovery ward pp. -: Hande Kucuk, Cyrille Lenoel and Rory Macqueen
HOW TO NOT MISS A PRODUCTIVITY REVIVAL ONCE AGAIN pp. 9-24: Bart van Ark, Klaas de Vries and Abdul Azeez Erumban
DO ECONOMISTS EXPECT TOO MUCH FROM EXPECTATIONS? pp. 25-41: Martin Weale
THE REGIONAL CONSEQUENCES OF NEW DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE: CAN WELSH SMES GAIN AN EDGE FROM ACCESS AND ADOPTION OF SUPERFAST BROADBAND? pp. 42-55: Dylan Henderson, Max Munday and Annette Roberts
ASPIRATIONS FAILURE, DISADVANTAGE TRAPS AND INCLUSIVE REGIONAL POLICY pp. 56-68: Sayantan Ghosal
HOW LONG DOES ECONOMIC INJUSTICE LAST? pp. 69-78: David Miles
MONETARY POLICY AND GOVERNMENT DEBT MANAGEMENT DURING THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC pp. 79-84: William Allen
RETHINKING EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY pp. 85-91: Adrian Pabst

REAL-TIME PROBABILISTIC NOWCASTS OF UK QUARTERLY GDP GROWTH USING A MIXED-FREQUENCY BOTTOM-UP APPROACH pp. R1-R11: Ana Galvão and Marta Lopresto
THE COMMENTARY: A COUNTRY WITHERED pp. F2-F3: Jagjit Chadha
PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY pp. F4-F39: Hande Kucuk, Cyrille Lenoel and Rory Macqueen
ASSESSING LONG-RUN GROWTH PROSPECTS FOR THE UK’S REGIONS pp. R12-R27: George Verikios, Ian Hurst and Garry Young
BANKING CONCENTRATION AND FINANCIAL CRISES pp. R28-R40: Ray Barrell and Dilruba Karim
THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview pp. F40-F90: Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
MODELLING STATE-CONTINGENT FISCAL RULES IN THE UNITED KINGDOM pp. R41-R53: Jamie Rush
EUROPEAN FISCAL RULES AS A LIABILITY IN THE TRANSATLANTIC TRADE CONFLICT: LESSONS FROM NiGEM SIMULATIONS pp. R54-R66: Sebastian Dullien, Sabine Stephan and Thomas Theobald

THE PROSPECTS FOR REGIONAL DISPARITIES IN THE UK IN TIMES OF BREXIT AND COVID-19 pp. R1-R3: Arnab Bhattacharjee, David Nguyen and Anthony Venables
THE UK ECONOMY: Forecast summary pp. F2-F3: Anonymous
UK INTERREGIONAL INEQUALITY IN A HISTORICAL AND INTERNATIONAL COMPARATIVE CONTEXT pp. R4-R17: Andre Carrascal-Incera, Philip McCann, Raquel Ortega-Argiles and Andrés Rodríguez-Pose
PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY pp. F4-F34: Cyrille Lenoel, Rory Macqueen and Garry Young
UNDERSTANDING REGIONAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE AND RESILIENCE IN THE UK: TRENDS SINCE THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS pp. R18-R28: Marianne Sensier and Fiona Devine
REGIONAL DISPARITIES IN LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY AND THE ROLE OF CAPITAL STOCK pp. R29-R43: Ben Gardiner, Bernard Fingleton and Ronald Martin
THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview pp. F35-F88: Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Holland, Ian Hurst, Amit Kara, Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
RECONCILED ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS OF REGIONAL OUTPUT IN THE UK pp. R44-R59: Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Aubrey Poon
LIVING WITH COVID-19: BALANCING COSTS AGAINST BENEFITS IN THE FACE OF THE VIRUS pp. R60-R76: David Miles, Mike Stedman and Adrian Heald
COVID-19 IMPACTS ON DESTITUTION IN THE UK pp. R77-R85: Arnab Bhattacharjee and Elena Lisauskaite

GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND ECONOMIC DISLOCATIONS: INTRODUCTION pp. R1-R3: Ana Rincon-Aznar, Xuxin Mao and Manuel Tong
THE UK ECONOMY: Forecast summary pp. F2-F3: Anonymous
ON THE RELEVANCE OF GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND THE INTRA-EUROPEAN DIVISION OF LABOUR pp. R4-R18: Manuel Fritsch and Jürgen Matthes
COMMENTARY: MONETARY POLICY IN TROUBLED TIMES pp. F4-F9: Jagjit Chadha
PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY pp. F10-F43: Cyrille Lenoel and Garry Young
THE EU’S SHRINKING SHARE IN GLOBAL MANUFACTURING: A VALUE CHAIN DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS pp. R19-R32: Robert Marschinski and David Martínez-Turégano
BREXIT AND IMPACT ROUTES THROUGH GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS pp. R33-R44: Jyrki Ali-Yrkkö and Tero Kuusi
THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview pp. F44-F88: Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Holland, Ian Hurst, Amit Kara, Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
VALUE CHAINS AND DOMESTIC COMPETITIVENESS pp. R45-R51: Michael Gasiorek, Alasdair Smith and Nicolo Tamberi
US AND UK LABOUR MARKETS BEFORE AND DURING THE COVID-19 CRASH pp. R52-R69: David N.F. Bell and David Blanchflower

THE ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION POLICIES pp. R1-R2: Dawn Holland and Garry Young
THE UK ECONOMY: Forecast summary pp. F2-F3: Anonymous
INDIA IN THE COMING ‘CLIMATE G2’? pp. R3-R12: Jonathan Camuzeaux, Thomas Sterner and Gernot Wagner
PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY pp. F4-F34: Arno Hantzsche and Garry Young
THE CHANGING ROLE OF CARBON PRICING IN THE EU pp. R13-R24: Milan Elkerbout
STRANDED ASSETS AND SOVEREIGN STATES pp. R25-R36: Amy Myers Jaffe
THE WORLD ECONOMY: Global outlook overview pp. F35-F79: Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Ian Hurst, Amit Kara, Cyrille Lenoel, Iana Liadze, Xuxin Mao, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
DOES INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION CONSTITUTE A BARRIER TO RENEWABLE ENERGY? AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS pp. R37-R46: Jinkai Li, Oluwasola E. Omoju, Jin Zhang, Emily E. Ikhide, Gang Lu, Adedoyin I. Lawal and Vivian A. Ozue
IS THE UK PRODUCTIVITY SLOWDOWN UNPRECEDENTED? pp. R47-R53: Nicholas Crafts and Terence C. Mills