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Analyzing Causal Mechanisms in Survey Experiments

Avidit Acharya, Matthew Blackwell and Maya Sen

Political Analysis, 2018, vol. 26, issue 4, 357-378

Abstract: Researchers investigating causal mechanisms in survey experiments often rely on nonrandomized quantities to isolate the indirect effect of treatment through these variables. Such an approach, however, requires a “selection-on-observables” assumption, which undermines the advantages of a randomized experiment. In this paper, we show what can be learned about casual mechanisms through experimental design alone. We propose a factorial design that provides or withholds information on mediating variables and allows for the identification of the overall average treatment effect and the controlled direct effect of treatment fixing a potential mediator. While this design cannot identify indirect effects on its own, it avoids making the selection-on-observable assumption of the standard mediation approach while providing evidence for a broader understanding of causal mechanisms that encompasses both indirect effects and interactions. We illustrate these approaches via two examples: one on evaluations of US Supreme Court nominees and the other on perceptions of the democratic peace.

Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cup:polals:v:26:y:2018:i:04:p:357-378_00

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