Political Analysis

1999 - 2026

From Cambridge University Press
Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK.
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Volume 34, issue 2, 2026

Measuring Media Criticism with ALC Word Embeddings pp. 149-165

Christopher Barrie, Neil Ketchley, Alexandra Siegel and Mossaab Bagdouri

Moral Foundation Measurements Fail to Converge on Multilingual Party Manifestos pp. 166-187

Marvin Stecker and Frederic R. Hopp

Codebook LLMs: Evaluating LLMs as Measurement Tools for Political Science Concepts pp. 188-204

Andrew Halterman and Katherine A. Keith

Probabilistic Record Linkage Using Pretrained Text Embeddings pp. 205-216

Joseph T. Ornstein

Decomposing Network Influence: Social Influence Regression pp. 217-236

Shahryar Minhas and Peter D. Hoff

Explaining Differences in Voting Patterns across Voting Domains Using Hierarchical Bayesian Models pp. 237-257

Erin Rose Lipman, Scott Moser and Abel Rodriguez

An Expert-Sourced Measure of Judicial Ideology pp. 258-277

Kevin L. Cope

Meaning Beyond Numbers: Introducing the Plot Staircase to Measure Graphical Preferences pp. 278-295

Talbot M. Andrews, Justin Curl and Markus Prior

Volume 34, issue 1, 2026

What to Observe When Assuming Selection on Observables pp. 1-22

Kevin M. Quinn, Guoer Liu, Lee Epstein and Andrew D. Martin

Generalizing Trimming Bounds for Endogenously Missing Outcome Data Using Random Forests pp. 23-37

Cyrus Samii, Ye Wang and Junlong Aaron Zhou

Estimating the Local Average Treatment Effect Without the Exclusion Restriction pp. 38-52

Zachary Markovich

Analyzing Political Text at Scale with Online Tensor LDA pp. 53-77

Sara Kangaslahti, Danny Ebanks, Jean Kossaifi, Anqi Liu, R. Michael Alvarez and Animashree Anandkumar

Measuring the Quality of Answers in Political Q&As with Large Language Models pp. 78-95

R. Michael Alvarez and Jacob Morrier

Bin-Conditional Conformal Prediction of Fatalities from Armed Conflict pp. 96-108

David Randahl, Jonathan P. Williams and Håvard Hegre

Generative AI and Topological Data Analysis of Longitudinal Panel Data pp. 109-131

Badredine Arfi

Accessibility and Equity in the Research Process: Gender Bias in Elite Interview Recruitment pp. 132-138

Margaret A. T. Kenney and John Salchak

Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design pp. 139-148

Gustavo Diaz and Erin Rossiter

Volume 33, issue 4, 2025

Crowdsourced Adaptive Surveys pp. 284-297

Yamil Ricardo Velez

Attention and Political Choice: A Foundation for Eye Tracking in Political Science pp. 298-314

Libby Jenke and Nicolette Sullivan

Odd Profiles in Conjoint Experimental Designs: Effects on Survey-Taking Attention and Behavior pp. 315-338

Kirk Bansak and Libby Jenke

Addressing Measurement Errors in Ranking Questions for the Social Sciences pp. 339-360

Yuki Atsusaka and Seo-young Silvia Kim

Priming Bias Versus Post-Treatment Bias in Experimental Designs pp. 361-377

Matthew Blackwell, Jacob R. Brown, Sophie Hill, Kosuke Imai and Teppei Yamamoto

Fixed Effects, Lagged Dependent Variables, and Bracketing: Cautionary Remarks pp. 378-392

Matei Demetrescu, Manuel Frondel, Lukas Tomberg and Colin Vance

Seeing Like a District: Understanding What Close-Election Designs for Leader Characteristics Can and Cannot Tell Us pp. 393-411

Andrew Bertoli and Chad Hazlett

The Modifiable Areal Unit Problem in Political Science pp. 412-424

Dong Wook Lee, Melissa Rogers and Hillel David Soifer

Constructing Vec-tionaries to Extract Message Features from Texts: A Case Study of Moral Content pp. 425-445

Zening Duan, Anqi Shao, Yicheng Hu, Heysung Lee, Xining Liao, Yoo Ji Suh, Jisoo Kim, Kai-Cheng Yang, Kaiping Chen and Sijia Yang

Constructing Vec-tionaries to Extract Message Features from Texts: A Case Study of Moral Content - ERRATUM pp. 446-446

Zening Duan, Anqi Shao, Yicheng Hu, Heysung Lee, Xining Liao, Yoo Ji Suh, Jisoo Kim, Kai-Cheng Yang, Kaiping Chen and Sijia Yang

The Probability of Casting a Pivotal Vote in an Instant Runoff Voting Election pp. 447-455

Samuel Baltz

Mapping (A)Ideology: A Taxonomy of European Parties Using Generative LLMs as Zero-Shot Learners pp. 456-463

Riccardo Di Leo, Chen Zeng, Elias Dinas and Reda Tamtam

Volume 33, issue 3, 2025

Synthetically generated text for supervised text analysis pp. 181-194

Andrew Halterman

Sign-Congruence, External Validity, and Replication pp. 195-210

Tara Slough and Scott A. Tyson

Exponential Random Graph Models for Dynamic Signed Networks: An Application to International Relations pp. 211-230

Cornelius Fritz, Marius Mehrl, Paul W. Thurner and Göran Kauermann

Categorizing Topics Versus Inferring Attitudes: A Theory and Method for Analyzing Open-ended Survey Responses pp. 231-251

William Hobbs and Jon Green

Decoupling Visualization and Testing when Presenting Confidence Intervals pp. 252-257

David A. Armstrong and William Poirier

When Can We Trust Regression Discontinuity Design Estimates from Close Elections? Evidence from Experimental Benchmarks pp. 258-265

Leandro de Magalhaes, Dominik Hangartner, Salomo Hirvonen, Jaakko Meriläinen, Nelson A. Ruiz and Janne Tukiainen

Measuring Distances in High Dimensional Spaces pp. 266-273

Breanna Green, William Hobbs, Sofia Avila, Pedro L. Rodriguez, Arthur Spirling and Brandon M. Stewart

Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging pp. 274-282

Gaël Le Mens and Aina Gallego

Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging - CORRIGENDUM pp. 283-283

Gaël Le Mens and Aina Gallego

Volume 33, issue 2, 2025

News Sharing on Social Media: Mapping the Ideology of News Media, Politicians, and the Mass Public pp. 73-90

Gregory Eady, Richard Bonneau, Joshua A. Tucker and Jonathan Nagler

MODGIRT: Multidimensional Dynamic Scaling of Aggregate Survey Data pp. 91-106

Elissa Berwick and Devin Caughey

Improving Computer Vision Interpretability: Transparent Two-Level Classification for Complex Scenes pp. 107-121

Stefan Scholz, Nils B. Weidmann, Zachary C. Steinert-Threlkeld, Eda Keremoğlu and Bastian Goldlücke

What Would You Say? Estimating Causal Effects of Social Context on Political Expression pp. 122-139

William Small Schulz

Countering Non-Ignorable Nonresponse in Survey Models with Randomized Response Instruments and Doubly Robust Estimation pp. 140-155

Michael A. Bailey

Multilanguage Word Embeddings for Social Scientists: Estimation, Inference, and Validation Resources for 157 Languages pp. 156-163

Elisa M. Wirsching, Pedro L. Rodriguez, Arthur Spirling and Brandon M. Stewart

The Limits (and Strengths) of Single-Topic Experiments pp. 164-170

Scott Clifford and Carlisle Rainey

Adding Regularized Horseshoes to the Dynamics of Latent Variable Models pp. 171-177

Garret Binding and Piotr Koc

Acquiescence Bias Inflates Estimates of Conspiratorial Beliefs and Political Misperceptions - CORRIGENDUM pp. 178-180

Seth J. Hill and Margaret E. Roberts

Volume 33, issue 1, 2025

PopBERT. Detecting Populism and Its Host Ideologies in the German Bundestag pp. 1-17

Lukas Erhard, Sara Hanke, Uwe Remer, Agnieszka Falenska and Raphael Heiko Heiberger

Dynamic Synthetic Controls: Accounting for Varying Speeds in Comparative Case Studies pp. 18-31

Jian Cao and Thomas Chadefaux

A Novel Class of Unfolding Models for Binary Preference Data pp. 32-48

Rayleigh Lei and Abel Rodríguez

Parameterizing Spatial Weight Matrices in Spatial Econometric Models pp. 49-63

Chang Tan, Michaela Kesina and J. Paul Elhorst

Analyzing Ballot Order Effects When Voters Rank Candidates pp. 64-72

Yuki Atsusaka