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Political Analysis

1999 - 2020

From Cambridge University Press
Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK.

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Volume 28, issue 3, 2020

The Neglected Role and Variability of Party Intercepts in the Spatial Valence Approach pp. 303-317 Downloads
Ingrid Mauerer
Corrected Standard Errors with Clustered Data pp. 318-339 Downloads
John E. Jackson
Capturing Rationalization Bias and Differential Item Functioning: A Unified Bayesian Scaling Approach pp. 340-355 Downloads
Jørgen Bølstad
A Method to Audit the Assignment of Registered Voters to Districts and Precincts pp. 356-371 Downloads
Brian Amos and Michael P. McDonald
Reviving Legislative Avenues for Gerrymandering Reform with a Flexible, Automated Tool pp. 372-394 Downloads
James Saxon
Using Word Order in Political Text Classification with Long Short-term Memory Models pp. 395-411 Downloads
Charles Chang and Michael Masterson
A General Model of Author “Style” with Application to the UK House of Commons, 1935–2018 pp. 412-434 Downloads
Leslie Huang, Patrick O. Perry and Arthur Spirling
Profiling Compliers and Noncompliers for Instrumental-Variable Analysis pp. 435-444 Downloads
Moritz Marbach and Dominik Hangartner

Volume 28, issue 2, 2020

Discrete Choice Data with Unobserved Heterogeneity: A Conditional Binary Quantile Model pp. 147-167 Downloads
Xiao Lu
Measuring the Competitiveness of Elections pp. 168-185 Downloads
Gary W. Cox, Jon Fiva and Daniel M. Smith
Unexpected Event during Survey Design: Promise and Pitfalls for Causal Inference pp. 186-206 Downloads
Muñoz, Jordi, Falcó-Gimeno, Albert and Hernández, Enrique
Measuring Subgroup Preferences in Conjoint Experiments pp. 207-221 Downloads
Thomas J. Leeper, Sara B. Hobolt and James Tilley
Comparative Causal Mediation and Relaxing the Assumption of No Mediator–Outcome Confounding: An Application to International Law and Audience Costs pp. 222-243 Downloads
Kirk Bansak
Crowdsourcing Reliable Local Data pp. 244-262 Downloads
Jane Lawrence Sumner, Emily M. Farris and Mirya R. Holman
Multi-modes for Detecting Experimental Measurement Error pp. 263-283 Downloads
Raymond Duch, Denise Laroze, Thomas Robinson and Pablo Beramendi
Measurement Error and the Specification of the Weights Matrix in Spatial Regression Models pp. 284-292 Downloads
Garrett N. Vande Kamp
Stacked Regression and Poststratification pp. 293-301 Downloads
Joseph T. Ornstein

Volume 28, issue 1, 2020

The Sensitivity of Spatial Regression Models to Network Misspecification pp. 1-19 Downloads
Sebastian Juhl
Modeling Context-Dependent Latent Effect Heterogeneity pp. 20-46 Downloads
Diogo Ferrari
Predicting Partisan Responsiveness: A Probabilistic Text Mining Time-Series Approach pp. 47-64 Downloads
Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky, Saud Alashri and Sultan Alzahrani
Ecological Regression with Partial Identification pp. 65-86 Downloads
Wenxin Jiang, Gary King, Allen Schmaltz and Martin A. Tanner
A Timely Intervention: Tracking the Changing Meanings of Political Concepts with Word Vectors pp. 87-111 Downloads
Emma Rodman
Word Embeddings for the Analysis of Ideological Placement in Parliamentary Corpora pp. 112-133 Downloads
Ludovic Rheault and Christopher Cochrane
How to Assess Power Law Behavior Using Stochastic Process Methods: A Note of Caution pp. 134-138 Downloads
Matthias Fatke
Estimating Grouped Data Models with a Binary-Dependent Variable and Fixed Effects via a Logit versus a Linear Probability Model: The Impact of Dropped Units pp. 139-145 Downloads
Nathaniel Beck
How Much Should We Trust Estimates from Multiplicative Interaction Models? Simple Tools to Improve Empirical Practice – CORRIGENDUM pp. 146-146 Downloads
Jens Hainmueller, Jonathan Mummolo and Yiqing Xu

Volume 27, issue 4, 2019

A Local Structure Graph Model: Modeling Formation of Network Edges as a Function of Other Edges pp. 397-414 Downloads
Olga V. Chyzh and Mark S. Kaiser
A Bayesian Split Population Survival Model for Duration Data With Misclassified Failure Events pp. 415-434 Downloads
Benjamin E. Bagozzi, Minnie M. Joo, Bomin Kim and Bumba Mukherjee
Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be Used for Matching pp. 435-454 Downloads
Gary King and Richard Nielsen
List Experiments with Measurement Error pp. 455-480 Downloads
Graeme Blair, Winston Chou and Kosuke Imai
Hierarchical Item Response Models for Analyzing Public Opinion pp. 481-502 Downloads
Xiang Zhou
Exploring the Dynamics of Latent Variable Models pp. 503-517 Downloads
Kevin Reuning, Michael R. Kenwick and Christopher J. Fariss
Measuring Polarization with Text Analysis: Evidence from the UK House of Commons, 1811–2015 pp. 518-539 Downloads
Niels D. Goet
Relaxing the No Liars Assumption in List Experiment Analyses pp. 540-555 Downloads
Yimeng Li
Predicting Network Events to Assess Goodness of Fit of Relational Event Models pp. 556-571 Downloads
Laurence Brandenberger
A Note on Dropping Experimental Subjects who Fail a Manipulation Check pp. 572-589 Downloads
Peter M. Aronow, Jonathon Baron and Lauren Pinson
Bias in Self-reported Voting and How it Distorts Turnout Models: Disentangling Nonresponse Bias and Overreporting Among Danish Voters pp. 590-598 Downloads
Jens Olav Dahlgaard, Jonas Hedegaard Hansen, Kasper M. Hansen and Yosef Bhatti
Comparative Research is Harder Than We Thought: Regional Differences in Experts’ Understanding of Electoral Integrity Questions pp. 599-604 Downloads
Bruno Castanho Silva and Levente Littvay
A Bracketing Relationship between Difference-in-Differences and Lagged-Dependent-Variable Adjustment pp. 605-615 Downloads
Peng Ding and Fan Li

Volume 27, issue 3, 2019

Measuring Geographic Distribution for Political Research pp. 263-280 Downloads
Dong Wook Lee and Melissa Rogers
A Bounds Approach to Inference Using the Long Run Multiplier pp. 281-301 Downloads
Clayton Webb, Suzanna Linn and Matthew Lebo
Measurement Uncertainty in Spatial Models: AÂ Bayesian Dynamic Measurement Model pp. 302-319 Downloads
Sebastian Juhl
What Can Instrumental Variables Tell Us About Nonresponse In Household Surveys and Political Polls? pp. 320-338 Downloads
Coady Wing
Testing the Validity of Automatic Speech Recognition for Political Text Analysis pp. 339-359 Downloads
Sven-Oliver Proksch, Christopher Wratil and Wäckerle, Jens
A Regression-with-Residuals Method for Estimating Controlled Direct Effects pp. 360-369 Downloads
Xiang Zhou and Geoffrey T. Wodtke
Can nonexperts really emulate statistical learning methods? A comment on “The accuracy, fairness, and limits of predicting recidivism†pp. 370-380 Downloads
Kirk Bansak
Improving Supreme Court Forecasting Using Boosted Decision Trees pp. 381-387 Downloads
Aaron Russell Kaufman, Peter Kraft and Maya Sen
Dynamic Ecological Inference for Time-Varying Population Distributions Based on Sparse, Irregular, and Noisy Marginal Data pp. 388-396 Downloads
Devin Caughey and Mallory Wang

Volume 27, issue 2, 2019

Messy Data, Robust Inference? Navigating Obstacles to Inference with bigKRLS pp. 127-144 Downloads
Pete Mohanty and Robert Shaffer
Paying Attention to Inattentive Survey Respondents pp. 145-162 Downloads
R. Michael Alvarez, Lonna Rae Atkeson, Ines Levin and Yimeng Li
How Much Should We Trust Estimates from Multiplicative Interaction Models? Simple Tools to Improve Empirical Practice pp. 163-192 Downloads
Jens Hainmueller, Jonathan Mummolo and Yiqing Xu
Why Does the American National Election Study Overestimate Voter Turnout? pp. 193-207 Downloads
Simon Jackman and Bradley Spahn
Inferential Approaches for Network Analysis: AMEN for Latent Factor Models pp. 208-222 Downloads
Shahryar Minhas, Peter D. Hoff and Michael D. Ward
Machine Learning Human Rights and Wrongs: How the Successes and Failures of Supervised Learning Algorithms Can Inform the Debate About Information Effects pp. 223-230 Downloads
Kevin T. Greene, Baekkwan Park and Michael Colaresi
Modeling Asymmetric Relationships from Symmetric Networks pp. 231-236 Downloads
Arturas Rozenas, Shahryar Minhas and John Ahlquist
Emotional Arousal Predicts Voting on the U.S. Supreme Court pp. 237-243 Downloads
Bryce J. Dietrich, Ryan D. Enos and Maya Sen
Waking Up the Golden Dawn: Does Exposure to the Refugee Crisis Increase Support for Extreme-Right Parties? pp. 244-254 Downloads
Elias Dinas, Konstantinos Matakos, Dimitrios Xefteris and Dominik Hangartner
Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: AÂ Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals pp. 255-262 Downloads
Lukas F. Stoetzer, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert and Sebastian Sternberg

Volume 27, issue 1, 2019

Estimating Smooth Country–Year Panels of Public Opinion pp. 1-20 Downloads
Christopher Claassen
Not so Harmless After All: The Fixed-Effects Model pp. 21-45 Downloads
Plümper, Thomas and Vera E. Troeger
A Theory of Statistical Inference for Matching Methods in Causal Research pp. 46-68 Downloads
Stefano Iacus, Gary King and Giuseppe Porro
A Multinomial Framework for Ideal Point Estimation pp. 69-89 Downloads
Max Goplerud
The External Validity of College Student Subject Pools in Experimental Research: A Cross-Sample Comparison of Treatment Effect Heterogeneity pp. 90-97 Downloads
Danielle L. Lupton
How Cross-Validation Can Go Wrong and What to Do About It pp. 101-106 Downloads
Marcel Neunhoeffer and Sebastian Sternberg
Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data: A Comment pp. 107-110 Downloads
Yu Wang
Seeing the Forest through the Trees pp. 111-113 Downloads
David Alan Muchlinski, David Siroky, Jingrui He and Matthew Adam Kocher
Insufficiencies in Data Material: A Replication Analysis of Muchlinski, Siroky, He, and Kocher (2016) pp. 114-118 Downloads
Simon Heuberger
Replications in Context: A Framework for Evaluating New Methods in Quantitative Political Science pp. 119-125 Downloads
Jeffrey J. Harden, Anand E. Sokhey and Hannah Wilson
Page updated 2020-08-13