The Role of Majority Status in Close Election Studies

Matteo Alpino and Marta Crispino

Political Analysis, 2024, vol. 32, issue 1, 148-155

Abstract: Many studies exploit close elections in a regression discontinuity framework to identify partisan effects, that is, the effect of having a given party in office on some outcome. We argue that, when conducted on single-member districts, such design may identify a compound effect: the partisan effect, plus the majority status effect, that is, the effect of being represented by a member of the legislative majority. We provide a simple strategy to disentangle the two, and test it with simulations. Finally, we show the empirical relevance of this issue using real data.

Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cup:polals:v:32:y:2024:i:1:p:148-155_11

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