The role of majority status in close elections studies

Marta Crispino () and Matteo Alpino ()
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Marta Crispino: Bank of Italy
Matteo Alpino: Bank of Italy

No 1391, Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area

Abstract: Many studies exploit close elections in a regression discontinuity framework to identify partisan effects, i.e. the effect of having a given party in office on the outcome. We argue that, when conducted on single-member districts, such analysis may identify a compound effect: the partisan effect, plus the majority status effect, i.e. the effect of being represented by a member of the legislative majority. We provide a simple strategy to disentangle the two effects, and test it with simulations. Finally, we show the empirical relevance of this issue using real data.

Keywords: partisan effect; single-member districts; regression discontinuity design (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1391_22

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