Political Analysis

1999 - 2024

From Cambridge University Press
Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK.
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Volume 30, issue S1, 2022

Introduction to the Special Issue: Innovations and Current Challenges in Experimental Methods pp. S3-S7

Libby Jenke

Volume 30, issue 4, 2022

Multi-Label Prediction for Political Text-as-Data pp. 463-480

Aaron Erlich, Stefano G. Dantas, Benjamin E. Bagozzi, Daniel Berliner and Brian Palmer-Rubin

Placebo Selection in Survey Experiments: An Agnostic Approach pp. 481-494

Ethan Porter and Yamil R. Velez

Reducing Model Misspecification and Bias in the Estimation of Interactions pp. 495-514

Matthew Blackwell and Michael P. Olson

Generative Dynamics of Supreme Court Citations: Analysis with a New Statistical Network Model pp. 515-534

Christian S. Schmid, Ted Hsuan Yun Chen and Bruce A. Desmarais

Does Conjoint Analysis Mitigate Social Desirability Bias? pp. 535-549

Yusaku Horiuchi, Zachary Markovich and Teppei Yamamoto

Racing the Clock: Using Response Time as a Proxy for Attentiveness on Self-Administered Surveys pp. 550-569

Blair Read, Lukas Wolters and Adam J. Berinsky

Topics, Concepts, and Measurement: A Crowdsourced Procedure for Validating Topics as Measures pp. 570-589

Luwei Ying, Jacob M. Montgomery and Brandon M. Stewart

Adaptive Fuzzy String Matching: How to Merge Datasets with Only One (Messy) Identifying Field pp. 590-596

Aaron Kaufman and Aja Klevs

Choosing Imputation Models pp. 597-605

Moritz Marbach

Volume 30, issue 3, 2022

How Populist are Parties? Measuring Degrees of Populism in Party Manifestos Using Supervised Machine Learning pp. 311-327

Jessica Di Cocco and Bernardo Monechi

The Structure of Political Choices: Distinguishing Between Constraint and Multidimensionality pp. 328-345

William Marble and Matthew Tyler

Large-Scale Ideal Point Estimation pp. 346-363

Michael Peress

Optimizing the Measurement of Sexism in Political Surveys pp. 364-380

Brian F. Schaffner

The Misreporting Trade-Off Between List Experiments and Direct Questions in Practice: Partition Validation Evidence from Two Countries pp. 381-402

Patrick M. Kuhn and Nick Vivyan

Partisan Dislocation: A Precinct-Level Measure of Representation and Gerrymandering pp. 403-425

Daryl R. DeFord, Nicholas Eubank and Jonathan Rodden

Assessing Data Quality: An Approach and An Application pp. 426-449

Kelly McMann, Daniel Pemstein, Brigitte Seim, Jan Teorell and Staffan Lindberg

Why We Should Use the Gini Coefficient to Assess Punctuated Equilibrium Theory pp. 450-455

Constantin Kaplaner and Yves Steinebach

Minmaxing of Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding and Geography Level Ups in Predicting Race pp. 456-462

Jesse T. Clark, John A. Curiel and Tyler S. Steelman

Volume 30, issue 2, 2022

Getting Time Right: Using Cox Models and Probabilities to Interpret Binary Panel Data pp. 151-166

Shawna K. Metzger and Benjamin T. Jones

A Permutation-Based Changepoint Technique for Monitoring Effect Sizes pp. 167-178

Daniel Kent, James D. Wilson and Skyler J. Cranmer

The MIDAS Touch: Accurate and Scalable Missing-Data Imputation with Deep Learning pp. 179-196

Ranjit Lall and Thomas Robinson

How Much Does the Cardinal Treatment of Ordinal Variables Matter? An Empirical Investigation pp. 197-213

Jeffrey Bloem

Diplomatic Relations in a Virtual World pp. 214-235

Aaron Bramson, Kevin Hoefman, Koen Schoors and Jan Ryckebusch

Estimating and Using Individual Marginal Component Effects from Conjoint Experiments pp. 236-249

Kirill Zhirkov

What Makes Party Systems Different? A Principal Component Analysis of 17 Advanced Democracies 1970–2013 pp. 250-268

Zsuzsanna B. Magyar

A Bayesian Alternative to Synthetic Control for Comparative Case Studies pp. 269-288

Xun Pang, Licheng Liu and Yiqing Xu

A Text-As-Data Approach for Using Open-Ended Responses as Manipulation Checks pp. 289-297

Jeffrey Ziegler

Understanding Bayesianism: Fundamentals for Process Tracers pp. 298-305

Andrew Bennett, Andrew E. Charman and Tasha Fairfield

Return to the Scene of the Crime: Revisiting Process Tracing, Bayesianism, and Murder pp. 306-310

Sherry Zaks

Volume 30, issue 1, 2022

Spikes and Variance: Using Google Trends to Detect and Forecast Protests pp. 1-18

Joan C. Timoneda and Erik Wibbels

Improving the External Validity of Conjoint Analysis: The Essential Role of Profile Distribution pp. 19-45

Brandon de la Cuesta, Naoki Egami and Kosuke Imai

Understanding, Choosing, and Unifying Multilevel and Fixed Effect Approaches pp. 46-65

Chad Hazlett and Leonard Wainstein

Accounting for Skewed or One-Sided Measurement Error in the Dependent Variable pp. 66-88

Daniel Millimet and Christopher Parmeter

Combining Outcome-Based and Preference-Based Matching: A Constrained Priority Mechanism pp. 89-112

Avidit Acharya, Kirk Bansak and Jens Hainmueller

Learning to See: Convolutional Neural Networks for the Analysis of Social Science Data pp. 113-131

Michelle Torres and Francisco Cantú

Nonignorable Attrition in Pairwise Randomized Experiments pp. 132-141

Kentaro Fukumoto

Do Name-Based Treatments Violate Information Equivalence? Evidence from a Correspondence Audit Experiment pp. 142-148

Michelangelo Landgrave and Nicholas Weller

Using Motion Detection to Measure Social Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives – CORRIGENDUM pp. 149-149

Bryce J. Dietrich

Volume 29, issue 4, 2021

Generalized Full Matching pp. 423-447

Fredrik Sävje, Michael J. Higgins and Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Gerrymandering and Compactness: Implementation Flexibility and Abuse pp. 448-466

Richard Barnes and Justin Solomon

Machine Learning Predictions as Regression Covariates pp. 467-484

Christian Fong and Matthew Tyler

Characterizing and Assessing Temporal Heterogeneity: Introducing a Change Point Framework, with Applications on the Study of Democratization pp. 485-504

Gudmund Horn Hermansen, Carl Henrik Knutsen and Håvard Mokleiv Nygård

Equivalence Testing for Regression Discontinuity Designs pp. 505-521

Erin Hartman

When Groups Fall Apart: Identifying Transnational Polarization During the Arab Uprisings pp. 522-540

Robert Kubinec and John Owen

Eliciting Beliefs as Distributions in Online Surveys pp. 541-553

Lucas Leemann, Lukas F. Stoetzer and Richard Traunmüller

The Causal Effect of Polls on Turnout Intention: A Local Randomization Regression Discontinuity Approach pp. 554-560

Pablo Brugarolas and Luis Miller

Lagged Outcomes, Lagged Predictors, and Lagged Errors: A Clarification on Common Factors pp. 561-569

Scott J. Cook and Clayton Webb

A Fast Estimator for Binary Choice Models with Spatial, Temporal, and Spatio-Temporal Interdependence pp. 570-576

Julian Wucherpfennig, Aya Kachi, Nils-Christian Bormann and Philipp Hunziker

Volume 29, issue 3, 2021

Measuring the Rural Continuum in Political Science pp. 267-286

Zoe Nemerever and Melissa Rogers

Spillover Effects in the Presence of Unobserved Networks pp. 287-316

Naoki Egami

Mapping Political Communities: A Statistical Analysis of Lobbying Networks in Legislative Politics pp. 317-336

In Song Kim and Dmitriy Kunisky

A General Approach to Measuring Electoral Competitiveness for Parties and Governments pp. 337-355

Axel Cronert and Pär Nyman

Achieving Statistical Significance with Control Variables and Without Transparency pp. 356-369

Gabriel S. Lenz and Alexander Sahn

Publication Biases in Replication Studies pp. 370-384

Adam J. Berinsky, James N. Druckman and Teppei Yamamoto

Measuring Ethnic Bias: Can Misattribution-Based Tools from Social Psychology Reveal Group Biases that Economics Games Cannot? pp. 385-404

Ashley Blum, Chad Hazlett and Daniel N. Posner

On the Use of Two-Way Fixed Effects Regression Models for Causal Inference with Panel Data pp. 405-415

Kosuke Imai and In Song Kim

Predicted Probabilities and Inference with Multinomial Logit pp. 416-421

Philip Paolino

Volume 29, issue 2, 2021

How to Get Better Survey Data More Efficiently pp. 121-138

Mollie J. Cohen and Zach Warner

Multiple Ideal Points: Revealed Preferences in Different Domains pp. 139-166

Scott Moser, Abel Rodríguez and Chelsea L. Lofland

Lattice Studies of Gerrymandering Strategies pp. 167-192

Kyle Gatesman and James Unwin

The Wald Test of Common Factors in Spatial Model Specification Search Strategies pp. 193-211

Sebastian Juhl

Scaling Data from Multiple Sources pp. 212-235

Ted Enamorado, Gabriel López-Moctezuma and Marc Ratkovic

The Multiclass Classification of Newspaper Articles with Machine Learning: The Hybrid Binary Snowball Approach pp. 236-249

Miklós Sebők and Zoltán Kacsuk

Using Motion Detection to Measure Social Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives pp. 250-259

Bryce J. Dietrich

Bias from Network Misspecification Under Spatial Dependence pp. 260-266

Timm Betz, Scott J. Cook and Florian M. Hollenbach

Volume 29, issue 1, 2021

Estimating Individuals’ Political Perceptions While Adjusting for Differential Item Functioning pp. 1-18

Stephen A. Jessee

Automated Text Classification of News Articles: A Practical Guide pp. 19-42

Pablo Barberá, Amber E. Boydstun, Suzanna Linn, Ryan McMahon and Jonathan Nagler

Measuring Discretion and Delegation in Legislative Texts: Methods and Application to US States pp. 43-57

Matia Vannoni, Elliott Ash and Massimo Morelli

Updating Bayesian(s): A Critical Evaluation of Bayesian Process Tracing pp. 58-74

Sherry Zaks

Using Eye-Tracking to Understand Decision-Making in Conjoint Experiments pp. 75-101

Libby Jenke, Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller and Dominik Hangartner

National Electoral Thresholds and Disproportionality pp. 102-119

Tasos Kalandrakis and Miguel R. Rueda