Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050

Samir Kc, Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Anne Goujon, Vegard Skirbekk and Bilal Barakat
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Wolfgang Lutz: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna)
Anne Goujon: Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna)
Vegard Skirbekk: Folkehelseinstituttet (Norwegian Institute of Public Health)
Bilal Barakat: Österreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften

Demographic Research, 2010, vol. 22, issue 15, 383-472

Abstract: Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educational attainment for the years 2005-2050. Taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level, we present the first systematic global educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of future educational attainment trends around the world, thereby contributing to long-term economic and social planning at the national and international levels, and to the assessment of the feasibility of international education goals.

Keywords: education; human capital; projections; differential of mortality; educational attainment; differential fertility; education goals; education policies; education scenarios; multistate models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J1 Z0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (57)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dem:demres:v:22:y:2010:i:15

DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15

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