A Guide to Global Population Projections
Brian C. O'Neill,
Deborah Balk,
Melanie Brickman and
Markos Ezra
Additional contact information
Brian C. O'Neill: University of Denver
Deborah Balk: City University of New York
Melanie Brickman: Columbia University
Markos Ezra: Brown University
Demographic Research, 2001, vol. 4, issue 8, 203-288
Abstract:
Interdisciplinary studies that draw on long-term, global population projections often make limited use of projection results, due at least in part to the historically opaque nature of the projection process. We present a guide to such projections aimed at researchers and educators who would benefit from putting them to greater use. Drawing on new practices and new thinking on uncertainty, methodology, and the likely future courses of fertility and life expectancy, we discuss who makes projections and how, and the key assumptions upon which they are based. We also compare methodology and recent results from prominent institutions and provide a guide to other sources of demographic information, pointers to projection results, and an entry point to key literature in the field.
Keywords: population projections; forecasting; projections; uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J1 Z0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dem:demres:v:4:y:2001:i:8
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2001.4.8
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