Oldest Old Mortality in China

Yi Zeng and James W. Vaupel
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Yi Zeng: Duke University
James W. Vaupel: Syddansk Universitet

Demographic Research, 2003, vol. 8, issue 7, 215-244

Abstract: We find that the Kannisto model, a two-parameter logistic formula, fits Han Chinese death rates at oldest-old ages better than the Gompertz and four other models. Chinese death rates appear to be roughly similar to Swedish and Japanese rates after age 97 for both males and females. Because reports of age seem to be serviceably reliable up to age 100 and perhaps age 105 in China, we think that this convergence may be mainly due to mortality selection in the heterogeneous Chinese population. We show that in China, as in developed countries, the rate of increase in mortality with age decelerates at very old ages.

Keywords: mortality; age; China; models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J1 Z0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dem:demres:v:8:y:2003:i:7

DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2003.8.7

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