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German Economy Defying a Turbulent and Uncertain Environment: DIW Economic Outlook

Claus Michelsen, Martin Bruns, Marius Clemens (), Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Konstantin Kholodilin () and Thore Schlaak

DIW Weekly Report, 2019, vol. 9, issue 22/23/24, 196-199

Abstract: After a turbulent summer, marked by a weak second and a likely stronger third quarter, the German economy should return to an average pace of growth and end up with a growth rate of 0.9 percent in 2019. Despite the more subdued pace, capacity utilization remains high; employment growth is continuing, albeit more slowly; and the trend of foreign demand is weakening but remains buoyant overall. In this economic setting, companies are expanding their investments, yet are likely to act cautiously due to imminent upheavals in global trade.

Keywords: Business cycle forecast; ecoomic outlook (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E66 F01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DIW Weekly Report is currently edited by Pio Baake, Tomaso Duso, Marcel Fratzscher, Peter Haan, Claudia Kemfert, Alexander Kritikos, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Stefan Liebig, Lukas Menkhoff, Claus Michelsen, Karsten Neuhoff, Carsten Schröder, C. Katharina Spieß, Katharina Wrohlich, Gritje Hartmann and Wolf-Peter Schill

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