The Rise in House Prices in China: Bubbles or Fundamentals?
Sainan Jin,
Wanjun Jiang (),
Liangjun Su () and
Jianying Hu ()
Additional contact information
Wanjun Jiang: Guanghua School of Management, Peking University
Jianying Hu: Guanghua School of Management, Peking University
Economics Bulletin, 2006, vol. 3, issue 7, 1-8
Abstract:
The dramatic rise of house prices in many cities of China has brought huge attention from both the governmental and academic circles. There is a huge debate on whether the increasing house prices are driven by market fundamentals or just by speculation. Like Levin and Wright (1997a, 1997b), we decompose house prices in China into fundamental and non-fundamental components. We also consider potential nonlinear feedback from the historical growth rate of house prices on the current house prices and propose a semiparametric approach to estimate the speculative components in the model. We demonstrate that the non-fundamental part contributes a relatively small proportion of the rise of house prices in China.
JEL-codes: C2 C5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-03-28
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2006/Volume3/EB-06C20006A.pdf (application/pdf)
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-06c20006
Access Statistics for this article
More articles in Economics Bulletin from AccessEcon
Bibliographic data for series maintained by John P. Conley ().