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The relationship between traffic accidents and economic growth in China

Kazuyuki Iwata

Economics Bulletin, 2010, vol. 30, issue 4, 3306-3314

Abstract: Using province-level panel data in China, we examine the relationship between traffic accidents and economic growth. A semiparametric partial linear model is used to account for potential nonlinearity in the relationship. The estimation results indicate that the relationship exhibits an inverted U-shaped pattern; traffic fatality and injury increase as provincial GDP per capita rise up to about $1500 and $4000 respectively, and decline thereafter. Unlike cross-country studies in the literature, we show that traffic fatalities in the entire China are already in a decreasing phase.

Keywords: Traffic Accidents; Economic Growth; China; Semiparametric Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R1 R4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-12-09
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