Property Tax in China: Is It Effective in Curbing Housing Price?

Huanhuan Zheng and Qingyong Zhang

Economics Bulletin, 2013, vol. 33, issue 4, 2465-2474

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of the property tax, implemented in Shanghai and Chongqing since January 28, 2011, on the housing price. Applying the synthetic control method of Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller (2010), we construct counterfactual housing price for Shanghai and Chongqing using monthly data from 33 cities that have no property tax. Comparing the counterfactual and actual price, we estimate that by November 2012 the average housing price in Shanghai was about 2127 RMB/m2 or 13.4% lower than it would have been in the absence of the property tax. This evidence is found to be significant using placebo test. We find no significant evidence that property tax is effective in curbing the housing price in Chongqing.

Keywords: property tax; housing price; synthetic control; real estate market boom (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E6 R2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10-03
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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