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Is Informality a Barrier to Convergence?

Ceyhun Elgin and Ferda Erturk ()
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Ferda Erturk: University of Maryland

Economics Bulletin, 2016, vol. 36, issue 4, 2556-2568

Abstract: In this paper we ask whether informal economy acts as a barrier to growth of GDP per-capita. Cross-country panel regressions for the period between 1960 and 2012 including 160 countries provide evidence for a robust negative relationship between size of informal economy and relative per capita income. Building on this evidence we simulate a simple two-sector (formal and informal) dynamic general equilibrium model and show that under the presence of an informal sector a larger fraction of the observed per capita income differences across countries can be accounted for.

Keywords: convergence; two-sector DGE models; informal sector; pane data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E1 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-12-29
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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