Economics at your fingertips  

Incumbency advantage, money, and campaigns: A note on some suggestive evidence from Chile

Ercio Muñoz Saavedra

Economics Bulletin, 2021, vol. 41, issue 3, 1203-1211

Abstract: This paper uses a regression discontinuity design to estimate the causal effect of incumbency status on the unconditional probability of winning a mayoral election in Chile. Moreover, it studies how this probability varies over time, and after a reform in the political campaign law that limited advertisement and modified how campaigns were financed. I find a significant incumbency advantage only after the reform implemented in 2016. For the mayoral elections between 1996 and 2012, I do not find a statistically significant advantage but in the 2016 election being the incumbent increases significantly the unconditional probability of being elected by 38 percentage points. This finding suggests, although not conclusively, that the reform benefited the incumbents.

Keywords: Regression discontinuity; Elections; Incumbency advantage; Campaign rules; Chile (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D7 K1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-07-18
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Economics Bulletin from AccessEcon
Bibliographic data for series maintained by John P. Conley ().

Page updated 2022-09-20
Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-01159