The Peronist´s constitutional reform: Measuring the 1949 constitutional reform on Argentine economic performance using synthetic control method

Maurício Oliveira (), Daniel Uhr () and Júlia Uhr ()
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Maurício Oliveira: Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel)
Daniel Uhr: Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel)
Júlia Uhr: Universidade Federal de Pelotas (UFPel)

Economics Bulletin, 2024, vol. 44, issue 3, 781 - 789

Abstract: This article aims to test the impact of the Peronist constitutional reform of 1949 on Argentina's short-term economic growth. We are the first article to assess the short-term effect of this institutional reform. We applied the Synthetic Control Method to data from The Maddion Project. The results show that the constitutional changes in 1949 had an average negative effect of US$ 1,330.05 on per capita income. The results remain robust to several strategies: Leave-One-Out, Alternative Synthetic Control Method, and the Synthetic Difference-in-Differences method.

Keywords: Argentina 1949 Constitutional Reform; Economic Growth; GDP per capita (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O4 O5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-09-30
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