International Commodity Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Markus Brückner and Antonio Ciccone

Economic Journal, 2010, vol. 120, issue 544, 519-534

Abstract: To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries' main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns on the outbreak of civil wars. We also find that Sub-Saharan countries are more likely to see civil wars following economic downturns in their main OECD export destinations. Copyright © The Author(s). Journal compilation © Royal Economic Society 2010.

Date: 2010
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Working Paper: International Commodity Prices, Growth, and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2009)
Working Paper: International commodity prices, growth and the outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2009)
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