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International Commodity Prices, Growth, and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Markus Brückner () and Antonio Ciccone

No 2009-37, Working Papers from FEDEA

Abstract: To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns on the outbreak of civil wars. We also find that Sub-Saharan countries are more likely to see civil wars following economic downturns in their main OECD export destinations.

Date: 2009-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr and nep-dev
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Journal Article: International Commodity Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: International commodity prices, growth and the outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa (2009) Downloads
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