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Are fluctuations in Japan’s consumption of non-fossil energy permanent or transitory?

Yuan Wang, Li Li, Jumpei Kubota, Xiaodong Zhu and Genfa Lu

Applied Energy, 2016, vol. 169, issue C, 187-196

Abstract: This is the first empirical study to use annual data to probe the stationary property of non-fossil energy consumption in Japan. To understand the behavior of non-fossil energy from different sources, we adopt the univariate and panel Lagrange Multiplier unit root test, which can accommodate multiple structural breaks in data-generating processes, together with the Fourier-type Lagrange Multiplier test under a non-linear framework. Our empirical findings emphasize a difference between the stationary behavior of nuclear energy and renewable energy. Nuclear energy contains a unit root, which implies that random shocks to nuclear energy consumption, defined as regulatory change, may result in a permanent deviation from original target levels. However, renewable energy consumption series are found to be stationary, which implies that extant energy polices for such consumption could have a transitory effect. Thus, an innovation policy using effective and flexible incentive mechanisms needs to be adopted to enlarge renewable energy deployment.

Keywords: Non-fossil energy consumption; Structural break; Unit root (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.009

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