An adaptive hybrid model for short term electricity price forecasting
Zhongfu Tan and
Yi-Ming Wei ()
Applied Energy, 2020, vol. 258, issue C
With the large-scale renewable energy integration into the power grid, the features of electricity price has become more complex, which makes the existing models hard to obtain a satisfactory results. Hence, more accurate and stable forecasting models need to be developed. In this paper, a new adaptive hybrid model based on variational mode decomposition (VMD), self-adaptive particle swarm optimization (SAPSO), seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and deep belief network (DBN) is proposed for short term electricity price forecasting. The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified by using data from Australian, Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) and Spanish electricity markets. Empirical results show that the proposed model can significantly improve the forecasting accuracy and stability.
Keywords: Electricity price forecasting; VMD; SAPSO; SARIMA; DBN (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:appene:v:258:y:2020:i:c:s030626191931774x
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.elsevier. ... 405891/bibliographic
Access Statistics for this article
Applied Energy is currently edited by J. Yan
More articles in Applied Energy from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().