Risk assessment and alleviation of regional integrated energy system considering cross-system failures

Zeyu Liu, Hang Li, Kai Hou, Xiandong Xu, Hongjie Jia, Lewei Zhu and Yunfei Mu

Applied Energy, 2023, vol. 350, issue C, No S0306261923010784

Abstract: Regional integrated system (RIES) bridges the gaps among different energy systems by various energy conversion equipment. While this integration brings forth numerous benefits, it introduces cross-system failures, where a contingency in one system may affect others. This poses significant challenges when evaluating the consequences of such contingencies. To address this, a risk assessment approach is developed for RIES, considering cross-system failures, as well as fluctuations in renewable generation and multi-energy loads. Event tree analysis (ETA) is adopted to simulate the propagation of failures and identify the affected components. Nine risk indices are proposed to quantify the operational risk of RIES at various levels. Additionally, root cause identification and weak point location are developed to formulate risk alleviation strategies. To validate the proposed method, a RIES with 101 nodes is utilized for risk assessment, and multiple risk alleviation strategies are determined. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, providing valuable insights for operators in ensuring the safety of RIES.

Keywords: RIES state analysis; RIES operational risk assessment; Event tree analysis; Root cause identification; Weak point location; Prevention measure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121714

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