From irregular to continuous: The deep Koopman model for time series forecasting of energy equipment

Jiaqi Ding, Pu Zhao, Changjun Liu, Xiaofang Wang, Rong Xie and Haitao Liu

Applied Energy, 2024, vol. 364, issue C, No S030626192400521X

Abstract: The data driven time series forecasting is a key concern for the digital modeling and health management of energy equipment. However, due to various issues, e.g., sensor failures in the data collection of energy equipment, the missing of data or the outliers often exist, thus producing irregular time series data. This limits the modeling capabilities of conventional sequence models like recurrent neural networks (RNN). To this end, we propose a continuous dynamic model based on the Koopman theory and deep learning. This model attempts to learn the latent linear and continuous Koopman space over irregular time series for performing high-precision multi-step-ahead prediction. In order to assess the performance, numerous numerical experiments have been conducted on the condition assessment of gas turbine and the spatio-temporal forecasting of multi-phase flow fields in the supercritical water fluidized bed. The comparison to state-of-the-art sequence models validates the efficacy and superiority of the proposed model in handling irregular time series data from energy equipment.

Keywords: Irregular time series; Koopman operator; Recurrent neural networks; Multi-step-ahead prediction; Energy equipment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123138

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