Is it returning too hot? Time series segmentation and feature clustering of end-user substation faults in district heating systems

Daniel Leiria, Hicham Johra, Justus Anoruo, Imants Praulins, Marco Savino Piscitelli, Alfonso Capozzoli, Anna Marszal-Pomianowska and Michal Zbigniew Pomianowski

Applied Energy, 2025, vol. 381, issue C, No S0306261924025066

Abstract: This study explores the challenges and advancements in collecting ground-truth data to enhance fault diagnosis models for district heating systems. Initiated by the need to address limitations in previous data collections, this research leverages an enriched dataset from a Danish district heating utility to identify faults in household substations. Despite some inaccurate fault categorizations, complex fault patterns, and truncated measurements, the analysis of 50 detailed cases out of 127 fault reports reveals that, while return temperature reliably indicates faults, energy usage patterns do not. By employing self-organizing maps combined with k-means clustering, fault symptoms and patterns were categorized adequately, demonstrating the utility of high-dimensional data clustering in fault diagnosis. Additionally, an algorithm using time series decomposition is suggested to identify extreme and subtle anomalies, enhancing fault detection capabilities. The paper concludes that these methodologies significantly improve the accuracy and dependability of fault diagnostics in district heating systems, paving the way for more efficient operational management.

Keywords: Fault detection and diagnosis; District heating; Self-organizing maps; Unsupervised learning; Time series decomposition; Substation performance assessment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125122

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