A model for influenza with vaccination and awareness

Isa Abdullahi Baba and Evren Hincal

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2018, vol. 106, issue C, 49-55

Abstract: In this paper we consider three strains of influenza (I1, I2, and I3) where we have vaccine for strain1 (V1) only, and population has enough awareness of strain 2. There is neither vaccine nor awareness for strain 3. Our main aim is to mathematically analyze the effect of the vaccine for strain 1 and awareness of strain 2 on the dynamics of strain 3. It is also in our aim to study the coexistence of these three strains. Six equilibrium points were obtained and their global stability using Lyapunov functions was shown to depend on the magnitude of a threshold quantity, called basic reproduction ratio. It was shown that the coexistence of strain 1 and strain 2 is not possible and the coexistence of the three strains was shown numerically. It can be observed from the numerical simulations that, although vaccine curtail the spread of strain 1, awareness curtail the spread of strain 2, but they both have negative effect on strain 3. This tells the relevant authorities whenever there is influenza epidemic to investigate thoroughly the possibilities of the existence of multiple strains, so as to provide vaccines and enough awareness on all the strains present.

Keywords: Three strain; Global stability analysis; Basic reproduction ratios; Influenza (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:106:y:2018:i:c:p:49-55

DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2017.11.003

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