Optimal quarantine control of an infectious outbreak

Vladislav Nenchev

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020, vol. 138, issue C

Abstract: This paper studies the optimal control of an infectious spread based on common epidemic models with permanent immunity and no vaccine availability. Assuming limited isolation control and capacity constraints on the number of infections, an optimal quarantine control strategy that balances between the total number of infections and the overall isolation effort is derived from necessary optimality conditions. The specific optimal policy is then obtained by optimizing the switching times of this generalized strategy. In the case of a newly emerged disease, these results can be used in a data-driven receding horizon manner to improve actions as more data becomes available.

Keywords: Quarantine control; Constrained optimization; COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:138:y:2020:i:c:s096007792030535x

DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110139

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