Bifurcation and chaos in a delayed eco-epidemic model induced by prey configuration

Ashvini Gupta and Balram Dubey

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2022, vol. 165, issue P1

Abstract: The present study assumes that infectious disease among prey classifies them as susceptible (S) and infected (I) prey. When strong (susceptible) prey forms a herd to defend against the predator, it can reverse their role. This paper focuses on spotlighting the impact of disease, generalized herd shape, predator mortality due to prey group, the attack rate for healthy prey, and time delay. These factors crucially govern the system’s dynamics like Hopf-bifurcation, transcritical bifurcation, and chaos. The sketch of the maximum Lyapunov exponent confirms the chaotic nature. Extensive theoretical and numerical analysis reveals the existence and stability of steady-states in the presence or absence of delay. This study finds out that disease spread in prey can enhance the chances of predator survival. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis demonstrates the influence of some epidemic and ecological parameters on the reproduction numbers of the proposed eco-epidemic system.

Keywords: Prey–predator; Herd shape; Disease; Bifurcation; Delay; Chaos (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:165:y:2022:i:p1:s096007792200964x

DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112785

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