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Chaos in a dynamic model of urban transportation network flow based on user equilibrium states

Meng Xu and Ziyou Gao

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2009, vol. 39, issue 2, 586-598

Abstract: In this study, we investigate the dynamical behavior of network traffic flow. We first build a two-stage mathematical model to analyze the complex behavior of network flow, a dynamical model, which is based on the dynamical gravity model proposed by Dendrinos and Sonis [Dendrinos DS, Sonis M. Chaos and social-spatial dynamic. Berlin: Springer-Verlag; 1990] is used to estimate the number of trips. Considering the fact that the Origin–Destination (O–D) trip cost in the traffic network is hard to express as a functional form, in the second stage, the user equilibrium network assignment model was used to estimate the trip cost, which is the minimum cost of used path when user equilibrium (UE) conditions are satisfied. It is important to use UE to estimate the O–D cost, since a connection is built among link flow, path flow, and O–D flow. The dynamical model describes the variations of O–D flows over discrete time periods, such as each day and each week. It is shown that even in a system with dimensions equal to two, chaos phenomenon still exists. A “Chaos Propagation” phenomenon is found in the given model.

Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:39:y:2009:i:2:p:586-598

DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2007.01.077

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