Economic Modelling

1984 - 2025

Current editor(s): S. Hall and P. Pauly

From Elsevier
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Volume 150, issue C, 2025

The Great Indian Savings Puzzle

Chetan Ghate, Pawan Gopalakrishnan and Anuradha Saha

Common and country-specific uncertainty shocks in europe: Why their nature matters for policy

Jaromir Baxa and Tomáš Šestořád

Population aging and innovation slowdown: Dual mechanisms of firm cost structure and consumption preference

Shiyi Chen, Yunpeng Li and Qinzhu Sun

The international spillovers of US monetary policy uncertainty: Is it a dilemma or trilemma for monetary policy?

Jingru Luo, Jingting Liu, Joseph D. Alba and Peiming Wang

Cross-country risk spillovers: A FHM factor copula approach

Jing Chang, Xiaozhen Hao and Zhenlong Chen

Long-run effects of super low fertility on housing markets

Jangyoun Lee and Hyunduk Suh

Is AI a key driving force for Chinese total factor productivity growth? Mechanistic analysis of employment, supply chain, and information asymmetry

Ruifeng Xu and Frank M. Song

Sustainability of pension systems in the presence of population aging and elderly labor supply

Tamara Fioroni

Goal-oriented preferences for green bonds: A model of sustainable investment strategies

An Chen, Yusha Chen, Thai Nguyen and Gazi Salah Uddin

Demographic transitions and global sourcing: Firm-level evidence from China

Jie Li, Yaohui Zhao and Yangming Bao

A Hodrick–Prescott filter with automatically selected breaks

Paolo Maranzano and Matteo Pelagatti

Does investment in consumer finance companies impact credit allocation of banks? Evidence from China

Yan Luo, Chuyu Jiang, Xiao Jun and Yang Zhao

Imported inputs reduce carbon intensity: Evidence from Indian manufacturing firms

Rumi Azim and Aparna Sawhney

Economic distress, democratic quality, and satisfaction with democracy in Europe during COVID-19: A multilevel approach

Tarkan Cavusoglu, Barbara Pistoresi and Erica Poma

Digital transformation and corporate diversification: Evidence from China's A-share listed companies

Rongji Wang, Wei Wan, Dongbei Bai and Jue Wang

CEO locality and R&D investment efficiency: Evidence from China

Yue Cao, Yancen Dong, Wenrui Chen, Jiaqian Fu and Huitao Luo

Volume 149, issue C, 2025

Time or money? Induced altruism and provision of old-age care

Subhra K. Bhattacharya, Mausumi Das and Priya Tomar

Spatial interactions and micro-enterprises’ uptake of COVID-19 financial aid: Evidence from a spatial hurdle probit model

Alessio Tomelleri and Anna Gloria Billé

How do social insurance premiums influence corporate underinvestment? Evidence from an emerging market

Yihong Gao

Shill Advertising

Jeong-Yoo Kim and Nathan Berg

Does a firm's intelligent technological transformation matter for its access to financial resources?

Kuo Zhou, Zhi Qu, Yiman Guo and Runnian Hu

Assessment of the output floor in an agent-based credit network model

Corentin Roussel

Elderly labor supply, endogenous grandparental childcare, and fertility in an OLG model

Mauro Maria Baldi, Raffaella Coppier and Elisabetta Michetti

A dynamic model of real-financial markets interaction

Serena Sordi, Ahmad Naimzada and Marwil J. Davila-Fernandez

Does redistribution hurt growth? An empirical assessment of the redistribution–growth relationship in the European Union

Michael Christl, Silvia De Poli and Monika Köppl-Turyna

Microfinance duration and development: The case of three cities in India

Radhika Lahiri and Honghong Wei

Non-cognitive skills and earnings of informal workers in China

Xi Chen and Xinyi Wu

Joint spousal ownership and corporate green innovation: Empirical evidence from family businesses listed on China's A-shares market

Liming Hong, Changhong Zhang, Sajid Anwar and Lijie Wang

The power of the business group: Differences in firm hiring decisions under labor protection shock

Yiwen Shangguan and Qiyangfan Feng

The momentum life cycle re-examined: Using incongruent value-growth to identify the momentum stage of stocks

Carlos Forner

Does war increase ethnic discrimination in the labor market? Evidence from a field experiment

Kanat Abdulla and Evangelos Mourelatos

Temporary migration, indeterminacy and growth

Carmelo Pierpaolo Parello

Government expenditure composition and long-run economic growth in the aging democracy

Toshiki Tamai and Yaqi Wang

Monetary policy analysis using natural language processing: Evaluating the People's Bank of China's minutes and report summary with the Taylor Rule

Shiwei Su, Ahmad Hassan Ahmad, Justine Wood and Songbo Jia

Green pathways: The role of international air connections in corporate green innovation

Yangming Bao, Jie Li and Jinyu Yang

Volume 148, issue C, 2025

Exploiting mixed-frequency characteristics in parametric Mean-Expected Shortfall portfolio selection

Shuting Liu, Sicheng Zhang and Yun Chen

Impacts of minimum quality standards in durable-goods markets

Wen-Chung Guo and Jia-Rui Su

Revisiting the welfare costs of consumption fluctuations and reduced growth: What matters most to consumers?

Fernando Barros, Gabriel T. Couto and Fábio A.R. Gomes

Stock prices and monetary policy: Analysis of a Bayesian DSGE model

Satoshi Hoshino and Daisuke Ida

Covered interest parity: A forecasting approach to estimate the neutral band

Juan Hernandez

Explaining the causality between trading volume and stock returns: What drives its cross-quantile patterns?

Bartosz Gebka

Global financial risk and uncovered interest parity premia in Central and Eastern Europe

Jakub Janus

Adaptive local VAR for dynamic economic policy uncertainty spillover

Niels Gillmann and Ostap Okhrin

Sustainable and equitable pension reform for emerging economies: An application to Indonesia

George Kudrna, John Piggott and Phitawat Poonpolkul

Climate shocks, economic activity and cross-country spillovers: Evidence from a new global model

Maryam Ahmadi, Chiara Casoli, Matteo Manera and Daniele Valenti

Risk-incentive trade-off in moral hazard with risk management: Theoretical analysis and empirical verification

Zheng Dou and Chong Lai

Migrant remittances and real exchange rate dynamics in developing countries: Evidence of a U-shaped relationship

Oussama Ben Atta, Mazhar Mughal and Serge Rey

Minimum wage and unemployment in Russia: A new look on an old construct

Gi Khan Ten and Shun Wang

Carbon tax in a duopoly with asymmetric spillovers and symmetric contributions

Chenyu Wang and Gamal Atallah

Volume 147, issue C, 2025

Effects of wage compensation and containment policies on Labor supply during pandemics

Luciana C. Fiorini and Wilfredo Maldonado

Optimal environmental policy and distortionary fiscal policy interactions: A DSGE perspective

Mehrab Kiarsi and Nahid Masoudi

Non-fundamental information disclosure and discretionary liquidity trading

Lanyu Li, Hong Liu and Qingshan Yang

A generalized constant elasticity of volatility and correlation ratio (CEVC) model: Empirical evidence and application for portfolio optimization

Marcos Escobar-Anel

An interest rate rule following the natural rate of interest for optimal monetary policy

Jeong Eui Suh

Carbon taxes and labor market: Balancing environmental and social impacts

Dorothée Charlier, Bérangère Legendre and Sarah Le-Duigou

Cultural values and interbank markets: An agent-based stock-flow consistent model

Jessica Reale and Alessio Emanuele Biondo

Demographic change and long-term economic growth path in Asia

Jong-Wha Lee and Eunbi Song

Do green policies enhance short-term economic growth? Assessing EU Recovery and Resilience Plans through the lens of Sustainable Development Goals

Michele Limosani, Emanuele Millemaci and Paolo Mustica

How does digital technology adoption affect corporate employment? Evidence from China

Yuwen Zhou and Xin Shi

Scaling and forecasting in a data-driven agent-based model: Applications to the Italian macroeconomy

Jacopo Di Domenico, Michele Catalano and Luca Riccetti

Types of employment and well-being of rural residents: A multinomial endogenous switching regression application

Wanglin Ma, Hongyun Zheng, David Boansi, Godwin S.A.K. Horlu and Victor Owusu

Pension sustainability and government effectiveness in the presence of population aging

Dooyeon Cho and Kyung-woo Lee

Global value chains participation and pollution emissions? Theory and evidence from Chinese enterprises

Geng Huang, Xi Lin and Ling-Yun He

What is the role of profit and luxury consumption in the ecological transition?

Federica Cappelli and Stefano Di Bucchianico

Optimal government ESG incentive and ESG performance under common ownership

Yuqian Zhang, Zeyu Yang and Jiayi Zhuo

Fiscal consolidation and asymmetric macroeconomic effects: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African countries

Ruth Badru, Andrea Calef, Ayobami Ilori and Oluwasola E. Omoju

A multi-factor GDP nowcast model for India

Kaustubh Kaustubh and Abhishek Ranjan

Fiscal policy and government bond yields: New evidence from the EU

Piotr Ciżkowicz, Michał Ledóchowski and Andrzej Rzońca

A two-stage game model of probabilistic price manipulation in decentralized exchanges

Bumho Son, Yunyoung Lee and Huisu Jang

Customer risk disclosure and supplier innovation strategy: A risk spillover perspective

Jie Liu, Chuan Zhang and Hanwen Chen

The fiscal multiplier in presence of unconventional monetary policy: Evidence for 17 OECD countries

Daniel Fernández Romero

Digital M&As, knowledge distance, and labor productivity: Technical and organizational perspectives

Yiming Zhao, Haitong Li, Zicong Miao and Keyang Li

Localized risk factors: Performance differentials between state-level and US factor models

Oliver Budras, Maik Dierkes and Florian Sckade

Business group affiliation and corporate digital transformation

Jiafeng Xiang, Ge Yang, Yinying Chen and Dong Zhou

Can property tax curb housing costs in China? New insights from Chongqing with Bayesian synthetic control

Jinyu Zhang, Yinghan Tang, Tianyi Liu and Yuan Zhang

Housing rare disaster events and asset prices

Messaoud Chibane and Patrice Poncet

Unveiling consumption patterns during COVID-19: Insights from credit cards

Simone Emiliozzi, Concetta Rondinelli and Stefania Villa