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Does air pollution induce international migration? New evidence from Chinese residents

Shuang Ma, Xueluan Li, Ding Li and Huanxiu Guo

Economic Modelling, 2023, vol. 120, issue C

Abstract: Severe air pollution affects public health and induces exodus of human capital, which is creating a growing concern in developing countries. While air pollution–induced “brain drain” has received much research interest, its causality and the underlying motivations of air pollution–driven migrants are poorly understood. This paper combines high-frequency monitoring data and detailed survey data from the 2015 China Household Finance Survey to investigate the short-term impact of air pollution on Chinese residents' international migration intentions. The regression analysis and instrumental variable strategy demonstrate that exogenous daily fluctuations in air pollution increase Chinese residents' desire to migrate internationally. Richer and more educated residents are keener to migrate abroad, and residents' dissatisfaction with local environmental governance can be a trigger for migration intention. These findings are alarming for Chinese policymakers in light of China's aim to protect the public's health while remaining a global center of manufacturing and innovation.

Keywords: Air pollution; International migration; Human capital; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D62 O12 O43 Q53 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:120:y:2023:i:c:s0264999322004138

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.106176

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