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Lottery preference, short-sale constraint, and the salience effect: Evidence from China

Chang Liu, Peng Sun and Dongming Zhu

Economic Modelling, 2023, vol. 125, issue C

Abstract: This paper documents the significant and robust salience theory (ST) effect in China, which differs from the findings in the literature. First, the upside-ST effect from stocks with salient upsides is stronger than the downside-ST effect from stocks with salient downsides; the opposite pattern is documented in the US market. We demonstrate that this pattern is due to strong lottery preference and short-sale constraint in China, where investors are prone to engage in salient thinking when they bet on lottery stocks; meanwhile, short-sale constraint prevents rational investors from correcting salience-induced mispricing. Second, the salience effect remains strong in big stocks and high institutional ownership stocks. Our findings are consistent with the existing evidence that fund managers cater to fund investors' lottery preferences to hold lottery stocks. Our study provides new insights into the sources of the salience effect in China, especially salience's interaction with investor behaviors and the market's institutional characteristics.

Keywords: Salience effect; Lottery preference; Short-sale constraint; Chinese stock market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D03 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:125:y:2023:i:c:s0264999323001530

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106341

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