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International spillovers of conventional versus new monetary policy

Aamir Hashmi and Dennis Nsafoah

Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 139, issue C

Abstract: We use a calibrated open-economy New Keynesian model to compare the spillovers from conventional and new monetary policy shocks from the US to Canada. We find that shocks with similar effects on the US GDP affect Canada’s private bond yield differently. For example, a forward guidance shock increases Canada’s private bond yield by 0.15%, however a quantitative easing (QE) shock decreases it by 0.13%. Our counterfactual policy simulations for the 2008 crisis show that (1) a more aggressive QE by the Fed would have resulted in a milder recession in the US but a steeper one in Canada. (2) If the Bank of Canada had followed the Fed’s QE policies, the drop in Canada’s GDP would have been much smaller. (3) Finally, if the Fed had implemented a mild negative interest rate policy, the effects on the Canadian economy would be similar to those of the benchmark zero-rate policy.

Keywords: Monetary policy; International spillovers; Zero lower bound; Unconventional monetary policy; Small open-economy New Keynesian model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 F41 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Working Paper: International Spillovers of Conventional versus New Monetary Policy (2021) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:139:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001688

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106812

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