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Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: The case of developed countries

Antonio Afonso, José Alves, Krzysztof Beck and Karen Jackson

Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 141, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of financial equity flows to investigate the role played by business cycles, government debt and sovereign rating scores, and whether the impact depends on the magnitude and direction of the flows. Using a new, richer dataset of flows among developed countries over 2001–2018, our key findings are as follows: (i) equity flows are more intense among countries at the same stage of the business cycle (ii) equity flows are higher to countries with a relatively lower debt to GDP ratio (iii) financial and macroeconomic variables are important for big equity flows, while institutional variables are important for the small flows. Overall, considering a wider range of factors under-explored in the literature, we provide a stronger understanding of the development of risks in the financial sector as well as the linkages with other sectors of the economy.

Keywords: OECD countries; Business cycle; Sovereign ratings; Government debt; Semi-parametric regressions; Quantile regressions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G15 G24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:141:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324002591

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106902

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