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Modelling dynamic storage function in commodity markets: Theory and evidence

Luca Pieroni and Matteo Ricciarelli

Economic Modelling, 2008, vol. 25, issue 5, 1080-1092

Abstract: In this work, we derive a model to investigate the optimal storage policy in metal commodity markets. From an inter-temporal setting, we carry out a criterion driving the stockholding decisions based on Tobin's q rule in which marginal benefits from holding inventories can be compared with marginal storage costs. We estimate the model for the world copper market by taking into account both spot price and convenience yield equations. In our sample, the estimated models are statistically robust and economically coherent with the theory, even though the patterns of the inventory accumulation process show high sensitivity to the uncertainty about worldwide economic conditions.

Date: 2008
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Working Paper: Modelling Dynamic Storage Function in Commodity Markets:Theory and Evidence (2005) Downloads
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