Exchange rate movements and monetary policy in Brazil: Econometric and simulation evidence

Luiz Gustavo Cassilatti Furlani, Marcelo Savino Portugal and Márcio Laurini

Economic Modelling, 2010, vol. 27, issue 1, 284-295

Abstract: The literature on monetary economy has aroused growing interest in macroeconomics. Due to computational advancements, models have become increasingly more complex and accurate, allowing for an in-depth analysis of the relationships between real economic variables and nominal variables. Therefore, using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, based on Gali and Monacelli (2005), we propose and estimate a model for the Brazilian economy by employing Bayesian methods so as to assess whether the Central Bank of Brazil takes exchange rate fluctuations into account in the conduct of monetary policy. The most striking result of the present study is that the Central Bank of Brazil does not directly change the interest rate path due to exchange rate movements. A simulation exercise is also used. Our conclusion is that the economy quickly accommodates shocks induced separately on the exchange rate, on the terms of trade, interest rate, and global inflation.

Keywords: Dynamic; and; stochastic; general; equilibrium; (DSGE); models; Monetary; policy; Exchange; rate; Bayesian; methods; Simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Working Paper: Exchange Rate Movements and Monetary Policy In Brazil: Econometric and Simulation Evidence (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:27:y:2010:i:1:p:284-295

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