The effects of the monetary policy regime shift to inflation targeting on the real interest rate in the United Kingdom

Andreas Reschreiter

Economic Modelling, 2011, vol. 28, issue 1, 754-759

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of the monetary policy regime shift to inflation targeting on the stochastic properties of the real interest rate in the U.K. The empirical analysis suggests a constant mean of the real interest rate that shifts with the monetary policy regime change to inflation targeting in October 1992. The mean-reverting level of the real interest rate has decreased from 5.1% to 2.3% per annum with the change in monetary policy to inflation targeting. In addition, the shift in monetary policy regime to inflation targeting has reduced the volatility of the real interest rate and increased the persistence of real interest rate deviations from the mean. The results suggest that the central bank can affect the stochastic properties of the real interest rate through the choice of monetary policy regime over a long period of time.

Keywords: Real interest rate; Monetary policy; Regime shift; Exchange rate targeting; ERM; Inflation targeting; UK (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E42 E43 E52 E58 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:1:p:754-759

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2010.04.009

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