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Modelling the nonlinear relationship between CO2 emissions from oil and economic growth

Kuan Min Wang

Economic Modelling, 2012, vol. 29, issue 5, 1537-1547

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from oil and GDP, using panel data from 1971 to 2007 of 98 countries. Previous studies have discussed the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis, but little attention has been paid to the existence of a nonlinear relationship between these two variables. We argue that there exists a threshold effect between the two variables: different levels of economic growth bear different impacts on oil CO2 emissions. Our empirical results do not support the EKC hypothesis. Additionally, the results of short-term analyses of static and dynamic panel threshold estimations suggest the efficacy of a double-threshold (three-regime) model. In the low economic growth regime, economic growth negatively affects oil CO2 emissions growth; in the medium economic growth regime, however, economic growth positively impacts oil CO2 emissions growth; and in the high economic growth regime, the impact of economic growth is insignificant.

Keywords: Carbon dioxide emissions from oil; Economic growth; Environmental Kuznets curve; Dynamic panel threshold model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C33 O10 Q53 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (57)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:5:p:1537-1547

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.001

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