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Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-augmented probit approach

C. Bellégo and Laurent Ferrara

Economic Modelling, 2012, vol. 29, issue 5, 1793-1797

Abstract: In this paper, we analyze macro-financial linkages in the euro area by implementing an innovative factor-augmented probit model estimated using a large database. In particular, our model specification enables the identification of the leading influence of financial variables on euro area business cycles, in addition to the coincident information conveyed by standard macroeconomic variables. We also point out that dynamic factor models lead to more accurate replication of business cycles than static ones.

Keywords: Business cycles; Financial variables; Factor-augmented probit (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C25 C38 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:5:p:1793-1797

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.033

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