A wavelet decomposition approach to crude oil price and exchange rate dependence
Juan Reboredo and
Miguel A. Rivera-Castro
Economic Modelling, 2013, vol. 32, issue C, 42-57
Abstract:
This paper studies the relationship between oil prices and US dollar exchange rates using wavelet multi-resolution analysis. We characterized the oil price–exchange rate relationship for different timescales in an attempt to disentangle the possible existence of contagion and interdependence during the global financial crisis and analyze possible lead and lag effects. For crude oil prices and a range of currencies, we show that oil prices and exchange rates were not dependent in the pre-crisis period; however, we did find evidence of contagion and negative dependence after the onset of the crisis. Additionally, we found that oil prices led exchange rates and vice versa in the crisis period but not in the pre-crisis period. These findings have important implications for risk management, monetary policies to control oil inflationary pressures and fiscal policy in oil-exporting countries.
Keywords: Wavelet decomposition; Oil prices; US dollar exchange rate; Dependence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C46 C51 F31 F41 G15 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (156)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:42-57
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.028
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