The financial accelerator and the real economy: A small macroeconometric model for Norway with financial frictions
Roger Hammersland and
Cathrine Bolstad Træe
Economic Modelling, 2014, vol. 36, issue C, 517-537
Abstract:
This paper studies the salient features of a core macro econometric model that allows for self-reinforcing co-movements between credit, asset prices and real economic activity. In contrast to the economic literature that cultivates highly stylized model representations aimed at illustrating the workings and the implications of such a feature, the model of this paper integrates two mutually reinforcing financial accelerator mechanisms within the framework of a fully-fledged core macroeconomic model. The impulse responses of such a model is in line with the ones typical of SVAR/DSGE models, though the amplitude of shocks is in most cases stronger than the ones pertaining to these kinds of models. This is due to the workings of the financial accelerators that contribute to magnify the effects of shocks to the economy. A forecast comparison undertaken between our model and an alternative macro econometric model without a financial block, suggests that financial feedback mechanisms may be forecast improving.
Keywords: The financial accelerator; Structural vector error correction modelling; Impulse response analysis; Forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E1 E32 E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:36:y:2014:i:c:p:517-537
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.051
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