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Conditional heteroscedasticity with leverage effect in stock returns: Evidence from the Chinese stock market

Ling Long, Albert Tsui and Zhaoyong Zhang

Economic Modelling, 2014, vol. 37, issue C, 89-102

Abstract: In recent years the Chinese stock market has experienced an astonishing growth and unprecedented development, but is also viewed as one of the most volatile markets, which has been called by many observers a “casino”. This study intends to examine the presence of heteroskedasticity and the leverage effect in the Chinese stock markets, and to capture the dynamics of conditional correlation between returns of China's stock markets and those of the U.S. in a bivariate VC-MGARCH framework. The results show that the leverage effect is significant in these markets during the sample period in 2000–2013, and the conditional correlation between mainland China's and the U.S. stock markets is quite low and highly volatile. The Chinese stock markets are found to be highly regimes persistent. These findings have important implication for investors seeking opportunity of portfolio diversification.

Keywords: Stock return; Chinese stock market; Conditional heteroskedasticity; Leverage effect; Regime persistence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F31 F37 G12 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:37:y:2014:i:c:p:89-102

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.11.002

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