Long-run monetary neutrality under stochastic and deterministic trends
Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària () and
Antonio Noriega ()
Economic Modelling, 2015, vol. 47, issue C, 372-382
This paper studies long-run monetary neutrality when long-horizon regressions (LHR) are used as a vehicle to test it. We assume that money and/or output can be generated according to widely used persistent models. We combine these specifications and study the divergence rate of the t-statistic as an indication of a spurious relationship between money and output, and show that the presence of spurious evidence of non-neutrality is highly likely. We then propose a correct inferential procedure for testing the null hypothesis of no relationship in a LHR (finite-sample and asymptotic evidence supports the procedure). The latter is then applied to an international data set on money and output in order to test for long-run monetary neutrality. We find that neutrality holds for all countries.
Keywords: Long-run monetary neutrality; LHR; Trending variables; Structural breaks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:47:y:2015:i:c:p:372-382
Access Statistics for this article
Economic Modelling is currently edited by S. Hall and P. Pauly
More articles in Economic Modelling from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().