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Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies

Jean-Pierre Allegret (), Valérie Mignon () and Audrey Sallenave

Economic Modelling, 2015, vol. 49, issue C, 232-247

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to investigate oil price shocks' effects and their associated transmission channels on global imbalances. To this end, we rely on a Global VAR approach that allows us to account for trade and financial interdependencies between countries. Considering a sample of 30 oil-exporting and importing economies over the 1980–2011 period, we find that the nature of the shock—demand-driven or supply-driven—matters in understanding the effects of oil price shocks on global imbalances. In addition, we show that the main adjustment mechanism to oil shocks is based on the trade channel, the valuation channel being at play only on the short run.

Keywords: Oil prices; Global imbalances; Global VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Related works:
Working Paper: Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Oil price shocks and global imbalances: Lessons from a model with trade and financial interdependencies (2014)
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