Economics at your fingertips  

Fiscal rules as a response to commodity shocks: A welfare analysis of the Colombian scenario

Jair Ojeda-Joya (), Julián Parra-Polanía () and Carmina Vargas ()

Economic Modelling, 2016, vol. 52, issue PB, 859-866

Abstract: We analyze the welfare effects of alternative fiscal rules in the context of shocks to the commodity sector of a commodity-rich country. We build a DSGE model featuring three productive sectors (non-tradable, manufacturing and commodities), government and two types of consumers, according to whether or not they have access to financial markets (Ricardians and non-Ricardians, respectively). The model is calibrated and estimated using Bayesian methods and macroeconomic data from Colombia. Our results show that while non-Ricardian consumers have welfare gains from countercyclical fiscal rules, Ricardian consumers incur in considerable welfare losses from this type of policy. The specific quantitative results of our welfare evaluation are driven by the structural parameters estimated for the Colombian economy. In particular, the estimated persistence of the productivity shock is relatively low and implies lower welfare changes compared to similar studies for other countries.

Keywords: Fiscal rule; Commodity shocks; Consumer welfare (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.10.022

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Modelling is currently edited by S. Hall and P. Pauly

More articles in Economic Modelling from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().

Page updated 2022-06-23
Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:52:y:2016:i:pb:p:859-866