The Long-run and Short-run Impacts of Urbanization on Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Pengfei Sheng () and Xiaohui Guo

Economic Modelling, 2016, vol. 53, issue C, 208-215

Abstract: This paper extends the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) model to be a panel error-correction model, which allows for a rich dynamic analysis where changes of urbanization account for carbon dioxide emissions. Applying the mean group (MG), pooled mean group (PMG), and dynamic fixed effect (DFE) estimation, we examine a China province-level data over the period from 1995 to 2011. Our estimates indicate that rapid urbanization increases carbon dioxide emissions both in the short-run and in the long-run. However, the lower magnitude of the environmental impact of urbanization in the short-run than that in the long-run indicates that the process of urbanization would have a long-lasting impact on the growth rate of carbon dioxide emissions. In addition, our results suggest that the impact of urbanization on carbon dioxide emissions would usually take some time to materialize fully, and would be useful to policymakers who seek to coordinate economic development and reduction of carbon dioxide emissions.

Keywords: Urbanization; Carbon Dioxide Emissions; Long-Run versus Short-Run Environmental Impacts; STIRPAT model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (49)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999315003995
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:53:y:2016:i:c:p:208-215

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.12.006

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Modelling is currently edited by S. Hall and P. Pauly

More articles in Economic Modelling from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().