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Impact of mega trade deals on China: A computational general equilibrium analysis

Chunding Li (), Jing Wang and John Whalley

Economic Modelling, 2016, vol. 57, issue C, 13-25

Abstract: This paper explores the potential impacts on both China and other major countries of possible mega trade deals. We use a 13-country computational general equilibrium model with trade costs to investigate both tariff and non-tariff reduction effects. Simulation results reveal that China-Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) will yield the highest welfare outcomes for China. For the US, China-TPP FTA will generate the highest welfare outcome. For the European Union, all China involved mega deals have negative impacts except China–US FTA. For Japan, RCEP will generate the highest welfare outcome. For both Korea and India, RCEP will generate the highest welfare outcome.

Keywords: Mega trade deal; China; General equilibrium; Impacts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 F47 F53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:57:y:2016:i:c:p:13-25

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.03.027

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